It comes with less than a month to go in the election — and with millions of votes already cast. Video. October 9, 2020 5:01 AM ET. Nightline. All of that points to a rising sea level for Biden. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. It has been a rough couple of weeks for President Trump. Currently at 233 seats - 218 needed - Democrats have a high probability of retaining control after the 2020 election.

But given Texas' voting history and the GOP's statewide political power, this one still leans toward Trump for now.

His performance in the first presidential debate was widely panned; Trump and several members of his inner circle contracted COVID-19; and then the president said he was pulling out of the next debate, after the debate commission said it wanted the candidates to appear from remote locations, citing safety concerns in the wake of Trump's diagnosis. A closely-contested Senate race may help determine control of that chamber.

Long election nights … Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio: These all remain Toss-Ups. The ABC News 2020 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2020 Presidential Election.

Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election Most recent electoral map forecast for the 2020 presidential election from Politico. However, given Arizona's history of the actual vote coming in considerably more Republican than early polling would indicate, the GOP has a strong case to make for once again carrying the state. Trump Demands that Barr Investigate Biden; Giuliani Defends Hunter Biden Story; Trump May Be Exhausting the Voters He Needs; Trump Walks Out of 60 Minutes Interview The 2016 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used where there are no polls. Arizona: This is a closer race than Wisconsin with Biden up 4 points on average. Given all of that, Trump's standing in the NPR electoral map … Updated three times daily, this map tracks the electoral vote count for the 2020 presidential election based on polling. Live. The president would need to make gains in the next three weeks in states now leaning toward Biden. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. ", State had less than a 2.5% difference in the vote between Clinton and Trump in 2016. The key here is if Biden continues to overperform with whites, margins will become tighter in red states and in red counties in swing states. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.

South Carolina, Kansas, Montana: All of these are traditionally red states that Trump won by significant double-digit margins in 2016. If Biden's current three point lead widens, however, it could finally be the flip the Democratic Party has seen on the horizon for the last twenty years. To put Biden's lead in context, even if Trump wins all the remaining toss-up states, it would not be enough for him to win. Which way will Arizona break? Biden is unlikely to win places like Alaska, Missouri, Montana and South Carolina, but being more competitive there than Hillary Clinton was in 2016 is putting him on track to surpass Clinton's vote total and popular vote margin of 3 million more than Trump. What's more, Democratic Senate candidate Mark Kelly has a wider lead in his race against incumbent GOP Sen. Martha McSally, which could help Biden's chances as well. Good Morning America. Iowa: This is a state that should favor Trump, given he won it last time and its significant white, non-college-educated population.
The Sunshine State's competitiveness and large electoral bounty will once again play a pivotal role in the 2020 election.

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